Ukraine Autos Report Q1 2016

Date: January 27, 2016
Pages: 34
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: U405623FD62EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The combination of a poor consumer story and a downbeat outlook for local businesses informs BMI's negative view on the Ukrainian new vehicle sales market in 2016. We are targeting a 6.2% fall in sales across for the sector as a whole, with passenger cars set to outperform commercial vehicles.

Table: Key Views
  • As of end-November 2015, Ukraine had produced a total of 6,434 vehicles, according to figures from the Ukrainian Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association (UkrAutoProm). This places the country on track to slightly exceed BMI's bearish forecast of 6,848 units for the full year, but fully underlines the bearish stance we take over the evolution of domestic auto production over the near term.
  • We expect commercial vehicle (CV) manufacturers to be the least affected by the ongoing conflict in 2016 given the important role of heavy trucks in infrastructure redevelopment projects across the conflict-damaged regions of the country and the more numerous export opportunities for the heavy truck segment.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Key Views
Industry Forecast
Production And Sales
  Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019)
Passenger Vehicles
  Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019)
  Table: Ukraine, Top 10 Brands 9M15
Commercial Vehicles
  Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019)
  Table: Key Players   Table: Goods Vehicles (LCV and Heavy Truck) Sales By Brands, Units
  Table: Key Players   Table: Bus Sales By Brands, Units
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Europe - Risk/Reward Index
Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential
Developed States Show Signs Of Risk
Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position
Company Profile
Regional Overview
  Table: Emerging Europe - Autos Production Investment
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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