Singapore Freight Transport Report Q4 2014

Date: October 8, 2014
Pages: 89
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Singapore's role as a global transhipment hub is both a blessing and a curse. In times such as these, when key markets in Europe and the US are either recessionary or growing sluggishly, it can be hit by depleted freight volumes. In 2014, we forecast growth in both port and airport total tonnage volumes, though it will be sluggish. Both facilities are investing considerably, and we are confident of growth over the medium and long term.

Headline Industry Data
  • 2014 air freight tonnage through Changi International Airport to grow 1.1% after a 0.8% expansion in 2013. Growth over our forecast period (2014-2018) to average 1.2% a year.
  • The Port of Singapore's gross tonnage will grow by 7.2% in 2014, with average annual growth at 5.4% during our forecast period.
  • The country's overall trade will grow by 3.2% in real terms in 2014, to average 4.1% to 2018.
BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Air Freight
  Table: Air Freight (Singapore 2011-2018)
  Table: Maritime Freight (Singapore 2011-2018)
Road Freight
  Table: Trade Overview (Singapore 2011-2018)
  Table: Key Trade Indicators (Singapore 2011-2018)
  Table: Singapore's Top Import Sources, 2004-2012 (USDmn)
  Table: Singapore's Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Singapore Airlines Cargo (SIA Cargo)
Pacific International Lines (PIL)
Pacific Carriers Limited (PCL)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Tight Labour Market Won't Be A Deterrent
Long-Term Political Outlook
  Table:   Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Diesel/Gasoil: Short-Term Overhang To Dissipate
  Table: BMI Diesel/Gasoil Price Forecast, 2014-2018 (USD/bbl)
Supply Keeps Market Down
Higher Crude Prices, Tighter Market To Provide Support
Long-Term Outlook: Diesel To Find Demand Support
Risks To Outlook
Jet Fuel: Relative Short-Term Stability With Long-Term Risks
  Table: BMI Jet Fuel Price Forecast, 2014-2018
Longer Term Dynamics: Consolidation Poses Risk
Risks To Outlook
Bunker Fuel: No End To Downtrend
  Table: BMI Bunker Fuel Price Forecast, 2014-2018 (USD/bbl)
Slower Fall, But Fall Nonetheless
Longer Term Trends Continue To Press HSFO
Risks To Outlook
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Macroeconomic Analysis
Holding Out Hope In Construction
Trade Outlook Not So Bright
MAS Stands Pat On Cue
  Table: Economic Activity (Singapore 2009-2018)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Singapore's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Singapore's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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