Iran Freight Transport Report Q4 2014

Date: September 24, 2014
Pages: 101
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: I4691A077D4EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Our outlook for the Iranian freight transport sector in 2014 is that the country will begin to see a return to growth in volumes, in part due to base effects, and in part due to the more moderate stance adopted by new President Rouhani, and the loosening of sanctions against the country. Although the ports and shipping continue to face significant challenges, rail freight continues to see strong investment. That said, it will take time for the Iranian economy to recover, and consumption levels will remain depressed for some time.

Headline Industry Data
  • 2014 port of Bandar Abbas throughput is forecast to return to growth at 5.6%, and to average 6.5% to 2018.
  • 2014 road freight volumes forecast to grow by 2.6% and are projected to average 3.9% over the forecast period to 2018.
BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Rail Freight
  Table: Rail Freight (Iran 2011-2018)
Road Freight
  Table: Road Freight (Iran 2011-2018)
Air Freight
  Table: Air Freight (Iran 2011-2018)
  Table: Maritime Freight (Iran 2011-2018)
  Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2011-2018)
  Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2011-2018)
  Table: Top Import Destinations, 2004-2012
  Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Rail Freight
Maritime Freight
Road Haulage
Company Profile
Iran Air Cargo
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL)
Political Outlook
Foreign Policy
  Table: Possible Scenarios As Diplomacy Advances
  Table: Syria: Long-Term Scenarios
Long-Term Political Outlook
Challenges And Threats To Stability
  Table: Iran Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Bunker Fuel: No End To Downtrend
  Table: BMI Bunker Fuel Price Forecast, 2014-2018 (USD/bbl)
Slower Fall, But Fall Nonetheless
Longer Term Trends Continue To Press HSFO
Risks To Outlook
Jet Fuel: Relative Short-Term Stability With Long-Term Risks
  Table: BMI Jet Fuel Price Forecast, 2014-2018
Longer Term Dynamics: Consolidation Poses Risk
Risks To Outlook
Diesel/Gasoil: Short-Term Overhang To Dissipate
  Table: BMI Diesel/Gasoil Price Forecast, 2014-2018 (USD/bbl)
Supply Keeps Market Down
Higher Crude Prices, Tighter Market To Provide Support
Long-Term Outlook: Diesel To Find Demand Support
Risks To Outlook
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Possible Scenarios As Diplomacy Advances
  Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2009-2018)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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