Iran Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Date: November 25, 2015
Pages: 72
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: I93CCA0043AEN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: An agreement was reached between Iran and the P5+1 powers in Vienna in July which should see all sanctions against the Middle Eastern country removed in 2016. This is highly positive news for the freight transport sector in Iran, in particular the shipping sector and the country's pipelines, as it will resume oil exports in full. With regards the rest of the freight transport mix, growth will be slow initially as the economy will take some time to recover. Nevertheless, growth will accelerate over the course of our medium-term forecast period to 2020, across all freight modes.

We forecast that total Iranian trade will see a return to real growth in 2016, following four consecutive years of decline from 2012 to 2015, as the effect of sanctions removal takes hold. The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy - which we expect to occur in H116 - will cause a significant uptick in economic growth over the coming years, reaching between 3% and 6%. We expect Iran's economy to emerge from recession as the country complies with demands on its nuclear programme. Iran has huge potential across almost all sectors, not just oil and gas which attracts most of the attention, and we highlight industries related to the consumer - especially autos and food and drink.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
  Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2012-2019)
  Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2012-2019)
  Table: Main Import Partners
  Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
  Table: Road Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
  Table: Rail Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
  Table: Air Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Iran Air Cargo
Political Outlook
  Table: Main Terms Of Iran Nuclear Deal
  Table: Iran Nuclear Deal: Winners And Losers
Long Term Political Outlook
  Table: Iran - Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief
  Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019)
  Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
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