Colombia Shipping Report Q4 2015

Date: August 12, 2015
Pages: 94
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: C532E75A8C8EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The strong growth registered across Colombia's main ports in 2014 is set to continue over the course of 2015. The largest port in the country at Cartagena is set to see the largest rate of year-on-year (yo- y) tonnage throughput growth in 2015, with healthy gains of over 7%, while the second main port in Colombia, at Buenaventura, will be the outperformer in terms of container throughput growth (4.75%). That said, these forecasts are down on the estimated growth seen in 2014. Our forecasts are predicated on the fact that Colombian real GDP growth will slow dramatically in 2015, as the impact of weaker oil production and lower oil prices weighs on trade dynamics and undermines consumer confidence.

In the coming year, the deterioration of Colombia's oil sector will weigh on investment inflows and swing the goods trade position into its deepest deficit in more than two decades. Thereafter the outlook will brighten slowly, with a flexible exchange rate regime, improvements in transport infrastructure, which we envisage boosting the port sector going forward in terms of an enhanced supply chain and a reduction in security risks encouraging a gradual rebalancing of the current account and boosting foreign direct investment.
BMI Industry View
Colombia - Q415
Colombia - Q415
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Cartagena Throughput
Port Of Buenaventura Throughput
  Table: Major Ports Data (Colombia 2012-2019)
  Table: Trade Overview (Colombia 2012-2019)
  Table: Key Trade Indicators (Colombia 2012-2019)
  Table: Colombia's Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
  Table: Colombia's Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Colombia Container Shipping Market Overview
Shipping - Global Industry View
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes
  Table: Major Beneficiaries
  Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class
  Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus Forecasts WTI And Brent, Front Month - USD/bbl
  Table: GDP Contribution To Growth (Colombia 2012-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025)
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