Brazil Autos Report Q3 2016

Date: June 1, 2016
Pages: 46
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We are further revising down our vehicle sales and production forecasts for Brazil in 2016 with both now forecast to contract 16.2% to 2.15mn and 2.06mn units, respectively. Added political uncertainty from President Rousseff's possible impeachment is exacerbating the pace of negative falling business investment and rising unemployment in the labour market.

Key Views
  • Consumer and business deleveraging of auto loans will continue as company bankruptcies and unemployment increase alongside already high interest rates non-interest costs of credit.
  • Heavy trucks remain one of the worst performing segments, given Lava Jato's effects on heavy industry and truck demand and further falls in investment sentiment.
  • Exports will grow strongly from 2017 onwards as Argentina's economic recovery gathers steam and raises demand for Brazilian vehicle exports.
  • Production cuts will lead to industrial actions by disgruntled OEM workers, raising risks for automakers.
BMI Industry View
Key Views
Industry Forecast
  Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Structural Trends
Passenger Vehicles
  Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Key Players
  Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units
Commercial Vehicles
  Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Key Players
  Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand, Units
  Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units
  Table: Bus & Coach Sales By Brand, Units
  Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Key Players
  Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand, Units
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Investment Reflects North American Stability
Political Turmoil Puts Brazil On The Edge
Central America Most Likely Movers
Regional Overview
Industry Trend Analysis
  Table: Latin American Autos Production Investment
Ford Leading The Charge In Mexico
Suppliers Scramble To Meet Production Starts
Fiat's Bullish Moves In Bearish Market
Brazilian Luxury Production Now In Full Swing
Chinese Regional Presence Increasing With JAC Investments
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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