Syria Defence and Security Report Q3 2014

Date: July 23, 2014
Pages: 79
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: S09C819A2E2EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Syria has remained in a state of civil war since 2011, pitting the government of President Bashar al-Assad against an armed rebel movement seeking his removal from power. The conflict is increasingly assuming a regional dimension, with the Sunni Muslim states of Qatar and Saudi Arabia supporting the removal of Assad, and the Shi'a Muslim state of Iran supporting the incumbent regime. BMI expects Syria to spend up to USD1.7bn on defence in 2014. With no prospect of peace in sight as regards the country's civil war, we expect Syria to increase the amount it spends on defence annually over the next four years with the budget reaching USD2.8bn by 2018.

It will come as little surprise that we have given Syria a low overall security risk rating of 27 for Q314. The country has scored an average overall security risk rating of 41 for the period December 2007 to Q314. We consider Syria to be at a high risk of becoming involved in a major interstate conflict. Similarly, we also believe that the country has a high risk of suffering from a major terrorist attack, with it having a similarly high risk of experiencing major criminal activity. All of these being factors are influenced by the civil war, which has been raging since 2011.
BMI Industry View
Syria Security SWOT
Syria Defence SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (Syria 2011-2018)
  Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (Syria 2011-2018)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Syria 2004-2011)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated) (Syria 2011-2018)
Defence Exports And Imports
  Table: Defence Exports (USDmn) (Syria 2011-2018)
  Table: Defence Imports (USDmn) (Syria 2011-2018)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Syria - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East And Africa - Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Syria Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
Syria Defence Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Defence Modernisation
International Deployment And Joint Exercises
Domestic Defence Industries
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Syria Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Security Risk Ratings Methodology
  Table: Indicators And Weighting
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