South Africa Defence and Security Report Q1 2015

Date: December 24, 2014
Pages: 89
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: S3E6112CD10EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI thinks that the South Africa defence budget and armed forces are likely to continuing facing substantial challenges in the years ahead. We think there seems to be a clear need for higher defence spending, although note that the defence industry remains an important player in the international arms market and numerous acquisitions are taking place in the local market. We think that South Africa's major security threat is the internal threat stemming from high levels of crime.

We expect the South African defence budget to reach USD3.9bn in 2015. For the remainder of the forecast period, up to and including 2018, we expect the defence budget to rise at approximately 2.5-2.8% annually. As a percentage of GDP and in absolute terms, we think South Africa's defence spending remains below par to that of Angola's and Algeria's, although note that neither Angola nor Algeria are likely to aspire to the same continental ambitions as South Africa.
BMI Industry View
South Africa Security SWOT
South Africa Defence SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (South Africa 2011-2018)
  Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (South Africa 2011-2018)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (South Africa 2004-2011)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (South Africa 2011-2018)
Defence Trade
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR
  Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2009-2018)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East And Africa Security Risk Index
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Risk Index
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
South Africa Security Risk Index
Market Overview
South Africa Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces and Government Spending
Industry Trends and Developments
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Domestic Defence Industry
South Africa Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Deployments
  Table: US Combat Operations In Africa
International Threats
Company Profile
BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa
Saab Grintek Defence
Recent Activities
Thales South Africa
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Regional Power Dynamics
Nuclear Proliferation
External Powers
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Security Risk Index Methodology
  Table: Indicators And Weighting
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