Iran Defence and Security Report Q3 2014

Date: May 28, 2014
Pages: 95
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect that Iran will increase its defence expenditure in 2014 by 7.1% in US dollar terms, bringing total spending to USD10.3bn or 2.2% of GDP. We acknowledge that the country's nuclear activities will remain a point of contention with the international community, but believe that ongoing talks between Iran and Western governments have the potential to de-escalate this issue. That said, should talks fail, and if Iran were thought to be approaching the point of successfully testing a nuclear weapon, we believe an Israeli or American strike on the country's nuclear facilities would become increasingly likely. We believe that Iran's contentious relations with the West will remain the dominant feature of its security and defence stance over the coming quarters, as has been the case consistently for the last couple of years.

That said, we acknowledge that elements of Iran's security and defence position are somewhat in flux, as the administration of President Hassan Rouhani has begun to engage with the West on the issue of its controversial nuclear technology. Indeed, recent developments have been fairly positive, with tentative agreements for Iran to reduce its stockpile of uranium that is closest to weapons grade, while the West has eased some of the strict sanctions that had brought the country to its knees economically.
BMI Industry View
Iran Security SWOT
Iran Defence & Security SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (Iran 2011-2018)
  Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (Iran 2011-2018)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Iran 2004-2011)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Iran 2011-2018)
Defence Sector Production
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Iran - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East And Africa - Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Iran Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
Iran Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Industry Trends & Developments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Arms Trade Overview
Iran Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
China Great Wall Industry Corporation
Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
Aerospace Industries Organization
Ammunition & Metallurgy Industries Group
Defence Industries Organization
Iran Electronics Industries
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Security Risk Ratings Methodology
  Table: Indicators And Weighting
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