India Defence and Security Report Q2 2014

Date: February 12, 2014
Pages: 107
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: I3B38C42583EN

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BMI View: Given the current regional security context, it is perhaps unsurprising that Q114 saw India engage in high level defence and security dialogues with both Japan and South Korea. Increased defence cooperation between India and the two East Asian powers is set to rattle China, with Beijing already expressing concern over New Delhi being 'courted' by Tokyo and Seoul. Like Japan and South Korea, India too is wary of an emerging China and the threat this poses to its own security. As well as being involved in several long-running territorial disputes with China, India is also sceptical of Beijing's strong strategic relations with Islamabad. The so-called 'stapled visas policy', which sees China issuing stapled visas for Indians domiciled in the Indian states of Jammu and Kashmir is seen as an implicit endorsement of Pakistan in its much publicized disputes with India. India has also taken a firm stand with Japan and South Korea regarding China's unilateral declaration of an Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) in Q413, branding it a violation of international aviation law.

Enhanced defence and security ties with Japan and South Korea will be manifested by increased defence sales, joint ventures, joint military exercises and security partnerships that look to address global and regional tensions. Following Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's visit to India in January 2014, it was announced that the pending sale of 15 ShinaMaywa US-2 amphibious patrol aircraft- a topic of interest for India since 2011- is moving forward, with a deal expected to be finalized sometime in 2014. This deal is expected to be worth US$1.65bn. During the bilateral talks, India invited Japan to participate in the annual 'Malabar' Naval exercises which India conducts with the United States.
BMI Industry View
India Security SWOT
India Defence & Security SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Budget
  Table: India's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017
  Table: India's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Armed Forces
  Table: India's Manpower Available For Military Service, 2011-2017
  Table: India's Armed Forces, 2000-2009 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Defence Sector Production
  Table: India's Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
  Table: India's Defence Imports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
  Table: India's Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Key Risks To Our Forecast
Macroeconomic Forecasts
  Table: India - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
  Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
India Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
India Defence Market Overview
India Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Long-Term Political Outlook
Company Profile
BAE-HAL Software Ltd
Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL)
Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL)
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL)
Honeywell International India
Ordnance Factories (OF)
Rolls-Royce International
Regional Overview
South Asia Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Security Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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