Japan Autos Report Q4 2015

Date: August 19, 2015
Pages: 67
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: JE1EAD9F400EN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

We forecast sales in both the passenger car segment and commercial vehicle segment to fall by 10.0% and 7.1%, respectively, in 2015, which will see the overall auto market contract by 9.5%. Our bearish outlook is predicated on a weak economy, exacerbated by a tax hike on mini cars and a continued erosion of consumer purchasing power, as wage growth fails to keep up with the rise in domestic prices. This will in turn see total vehicle production decline 5.0% in 2015 as a weak domestic market leads to cutbacks in output.

We believe this is due to the fact that carmakers have diversified a lot of their production away from the country in recent years as well as their reluctance to heavily discount their exports from Japan in order to move larger volumes. Furthermore, Japanese carmakers have invested heavily in production facilities overseas, and cutting prices on exports would mean cannibalising the profitability of these foreign subsidiaries.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
  Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
  Table: Vehicle Production By Company
  Table: Vehicle Sales By Company
Industry Developments
Passenger Cars
  Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
  Table: Passenger Car Sales By Company
Commercial Vehicles
  Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
  Table: Commercial Vehicle Sales By Company
Motorcycles
  Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019)
  Table: Motorcycle Sales By Engine Displacement
  Table: Motorcycle Production By Engine Displacement
Suppliers
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (Japan 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Developed States Still Lead
Frontier Markets Are A Risky Bet
On The Bubble
Company Profile
Toyota Motor
Nissan Motor
E-Bus Boom Carrying BYD To New Heights
Regional Overview
Industry Trend Analysis
Replacement Cycle Aids Growth
Bigger Markets Lagging
Smaller Markets Have Untapped Potential
Global Industry Overview
1 CURRENCY WEAKNESS HURTING AFRICAN GROWTH
2 INCREASING LOCAL CONTENT IN TROUBLE SPOTS
3 SUVS ROLLING ON
4 TECH/AUTOS LINES ARE BLURRING
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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