Poland Mining Report Q1 2016

Date: November 18, 2015
Pages: 44
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

Download PDF Leaflet

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Growth in the Polish mining sector will be modest over the coming years. The coal sector will be overhauled as the government seeks to either restructure or close unprofitable mines. Copper output will struggle as falling copper ore grades and weak prices are set to hinder growth. Nevertheless, the rate of growth we forecast indicates that the country will remain one of the most significant players in the European coal, silver and copper markets.

Downside Risks

The main downside risks to our forecasts are weak copper and coal prices, cheap coal imports and labour unrest in the sector. Due to our view for a sharp slowdown in Chinese economic growth and expectation for increased copper supply, we expect lower copper prices over coming years. We forecast copper prices to average USD6,450/tonne over 2014-2018, significantly lower than their 2011 average of USD8,826/tonne. Combined with falling ore grades in Poland, these lower prices will significantly disincentive investment in the sector.
BMI Industry View
Downside Risks
New Entrants
Industry Forecast
Coal: Inefficient MInes & Weak Prices Spell Trouble
New Projects
  Table: Coal Production Forecast (Poland 2011-2019)
Copper: Modest Growth As Falling Grades Take Their Toll
Weak Copper Prices Constitute Greatest Downside Risk
  Table: Copper Production Forecast (Poland 2011-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Poland Risk/Reward Index
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Industry Risks
Country Risks
  Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Poland 2011-2019)
Europe: Majority To Be Low Risk-Reward
  Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Tax Regime
  Table: Political Overview
  Table: Europe - Mining Regulatory Outlook
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Outlook
  Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Poland - Major Mining & Metals Companies - Financial Data
Company Profile
  Table: KGHM - Key Financial Data
Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa (JSW)
  Table: JSW - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Europe Mining: The Four Key Themes
Key Themes:
Russia & Poland To Defy Regional Slowdown
US Dollar Strength To Influence Trade Dynamics
Coal: Russia To Be Growth Bright Spot
Rare Earth Production To Shift Westwards
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Skip to top

Poland Mining Report Q3 2016 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2016 · 45 pages

Ask Your Question

Poland Mining Report Q1 2016
Company name*:
Contact person*:
Request invoice
Your enquiry:
Please click on a Check Box below to confirm you are not a robot: