Mongolia Mining Report Q3 2016

Date: June 1, 2016
Pages: 62
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: M4953083FBEEN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mongolia's mining sector growth will accelerate on the back of foreign mining investment, a robust infrastructure framework and the country's strategic close proximity to major export markets such as China. Projects such as Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi mine will significantly increase the country's mining output over the coming years.

Latest Developments & Trends
  • In May 2016, Rio Tinto and its subsidiary Turquoise Hill announced the final and formal approval for the expansion of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mining project, which will cost a total of USD5.3bn- 400mn more than initially expected. In December 2015, Rio Tinto announced the company's procurement of a combined USD4.4 billion from 20 lenders to fund the expansion of Oyu Tolgoi.
  • On May 18 2015, an agreement was reached between Turquoise Hill and Mongolia's government to go ahead with the USD5.3bn underground expansion. The end of the deadlock between the Mongolian government and Turquoise Hill Resources over the Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia's South Gobi region further supports our view of rapid long-term growth in Mongolia's gold and copper output. An increasingly favourable investment climate will allow overseas miners to take advantage of the country's considerable gold and copper reserves. The Oyu Tolgoi mine will be the sector's key growth driver and account for around one-third of Mongolia's economy once the mine reaches full production capacity in 2021.
  • Despite calls for greater resource nationalism over the past quarters, we believe the Mongolian government will tone down its anti-foreign investment stance against miners. The government's policy priorities will shift away from the populist tones outlined during the 2013 election campaign, back to a more market-friendly platform. However, anti-foreign investor sentiment amongst the public remains a major issue, and is the key reason why the government took a more pronounced hard-line stance towards key foreign investors in the country, notably global mining major Rio Tinto. The split in the super coalition is a signal that political will power to push through deals is waning. We are not optimistic on the prospects for progress on the Tavan Tolgoi projects as the government is unlikely to want to tackle the issue with an election around the corner.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Mongolia Mining Industry Value
Latest Developments & Trends
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Mongolia - Coal: Upcoming Elections To Determine Future Growth
Latest Developments
  Table: Mongolia Coal Production Forecast
  Table: Mongolia - Select Coal Projects
Structural Trends
Mongolia - Copper: Oyu Tolgoi To Drive Growth
Latest Developments
  Table: Copper Production Forecast (Mongolia 2012-2020)
  Table: Mongolia - Select Copper Mine Projects
Structural Trends
Gold: Solid Growth Ahead
Latest Developments
  Table: Gold Production Forecast (Mongolia 2012-2020)
  Table: Mongolia - Select Gold Projects
Structural Trends
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Mining Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Asia Risk/Reward Index
Key Takeaways
Latest Revisions
  Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Mining Reforms To Lift Exploration
Trade & Investment Risk Analysis
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Outlook
  Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Improving Environment To Attract More Foreign Investment
  Table: Mongolia - Financial Data Of Key Listed Companies
Company Profile
Centerra Gold
Latest Results
  Table: Centerra Gold - Key Financial Data
Turquoise Hill Resources
Latest Results
  Table: Turquoise Hill - Key Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto
  Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Company Analysis
  Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects
  Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Asia Overview
Slowing Iron Ore Production
Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform
China & India To Lead In Outbound Investment
Indonesian Ban Moderation Ahead
Chinese Coal & Steel Sectors To Consolidate Slowly
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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