Botswana Mining Report Q3 2016

Date: May 4, 2016
Pages: 54
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Botswana's mining industry has considerable potential, with sizeable mineral deposits complemented by a stable political climate and supportive regulatory environment. The mining industry is largely dominated by domestic players, or, in the case of Debswana, local partners of foreign agents. However overseas interest is growing, particularly in the coal mining sector, the scale of which is just starting to be realised. Price weakness will constrain the expansion of the mining sector in the short term, with diamond production set to contract in 2016, but we see significant room for growth beyond 2020.

Latest Updates & Forecasts
  • In April 2016, Botswana Diamonds and Alrosa began drilling at the companies' PL260 and PL210 licences in the Orapa project. The companies secured exploration rights to the project in 2015 as part of a joint venture (JV).
  • In the same month junior Canadian miner Tango Mining announced the extension of the deadline to purchase the diamond mining operations of UK-owned Firestone Diamonds. Tango is reportedly looking to secure a USD30mn loan to finance the acquisition with a view to recommencing operations at Firestone's BK11 mine.
  • In March, CEO of state-run Botswana Oil Company revealed the organisation was exploring opportunities for coal benefaction, which would allow the country to covert its coal resources into liquid energy and by-products.
  • We expect Botswana's diamond production to contract in the short term as leading miners such as Debswana scale back capacity on account of current price weakness. Output will fall by 6.1% in 2016 to 21.8mn carats (mnct) before recovering to reach 23.1mnct in 2020.
  • However, coal output will expand at a rapid pace, with production set to grow by 15.2% a year on average over 2016-2020 to reach 4.4mn tonnes (mnt).
BMI Industry View
  Table: Botswana Mining Industry Value Forecast (2015-2020)
Industry Forecast
Diamonds: Foreign Interest Growing Despite Price Constraints
Latest Updates
  Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Botswana 2012-2020)
Structural Trends
  Table: Botswana - Main Diamond Projects
Coal: Government Recognising Industry's Potential
Latest Developments
  Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2012-2020)
Structural Trends
  Table: Botswana - Coal Deposits
  Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2012-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Botswana Risk/Reward Index
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Key Takeaways
Latest Revisions
  Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Outlook
  Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
International & Domestic Key Players
  Table: Africa - Largest Mining companies
Company Profile
Global Company Strategy - Anglo American - Q2 2016
Company Strategy
Latest Results
  Table: Anglo American - Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - Norilsk Nickel
Company Overview
Company Strategy
  Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis
  Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
  Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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