Botswana Mining Report Q1 2016

Date: November 4, 2015
Pages: 48
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect diamond production in Botswana to grow from 2016, supporting a rise in the overall value of the country's mining sector over the next few years. However, the reliance on this product in Botswana's overall framework is a concern as diamond prices underperform globally and the country's production is estimated to have contracted by 1.6% in 2015. At present, plans to invigorate activity in other sub-sectors, including coal mining, are being held back by a lack of transportation and other infrastructure.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends:

We have revised our estimates for Botswana's 2015 diamond production downwards and now estimate output to have contracted by 1.6% in 2015 to 23.42mn carats. Our revision follows news that Diamond output from Botswana's leading diamond miner, Debswana slid 4% in H115, to 12mn carats, with the company cutting their production target for the year by 13.0%, from 23mn carats to 20mn carats. Weak demand from major buyers such as China has left dealers with few options but to slash prices in an effort to clear the supply glut. According to the Rapaport Group's diamond pricing list, average prices for top quality 1 carat stones dropped by about 13% between January 2015 and September. This has trickled down to miners who have had to drop their prices accordingly. China's economic rebalancing and slowdown in luxury spending has contributed to oversupply in the market and prompted mining firms to cut their 2015 production targets. Meanwhile, diamond exports have also fallen steadily over recent quarters as low global prices and lacklustre external demand have lead companies to cut production targets.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Botswana Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2019)
Latest Updates And Structural Trends:
Industry Forecast
Output To recover In 2016
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Botswana - Main Diamond Projects
  Table: Diamond Production (Botswana 2012-2019)
Coal: Infrastructure Key To Tapping Growth Potential
Latest Developments
Structural Trends
  Table: Botswana - Coal Deposits
  Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2012-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Botswana Risk/Reward Index
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Africa: Major Risks Remain
Key Takeaways
Latest Revisions
  Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
  Table: Africa - Mining Regulatory Outlook
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Outlook
  Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
International & Domestic Key Players
Company Profile
Global Company Strategy - Norilsk Nickel - Q1 2016
Company Overview
Company Strategy
  Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis
  Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - Anglo American - Q1 2016
Company Strategy
Latest Results
  Table: Anglo American - Financial Data
Regional Overview
Africa Mining: The Four Key Themes
Key Themes
Chinese Investment To Continue
Iron Ore Price Weakness To Curb Growth
Regulatory Uncertainty To Curb Growth
Mining To Remain Key Contributor To GDP
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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