Mexico Defence and Security Report 2016

Date: October 21, 2015
Pages: 31
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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BMI View: There has been a significant improvement in the anti-narcotics campaign with the arrest and deaths of several drug cartel leaders and officials. Some of the largest cartels have suffered losses and the campaign has received considerable praise. Nonetheless, civil unrest is likely to escalate in the short to medium term due to both corruption and cartel violence. While the defence budget is now tied to GDP, and is thus unlikely to fall relative to other elements of government expenditure; the peso's loss of value, combined with other macroeconomic factors, is likely to hold down any big ticket procurement items in the short term. From 2016 to 2019, the defence budget will count for just 0.5% of Mexico's GDP.

Despite the success of the anti-narcotics campaign in recent years with the arrest and deaths of several drug cartels and officials, the drug war continues to intensify and become even more brutal as new organizations are forming to fill the void. Because of the ongoing support of both the Mexican government and the US, the campaign against the cartels will not see gang violence become a long-term issue, but the campaign could easily mean a temporary increase in spending on reconnaissance and intelligence equipment.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (Mexico 2012-2019)
Defence Trade
  Table: Defence Trade Balance (USDmn) (Mexico 2012-2019)
  Table: Defence Exports (USDmn) (Mexico 2012-2019)
  Table: Defence Imports (USDmn) (Mexico 2012-2019)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Mexico 2005-2011)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Mexico Security Risk Index
  Table: Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Mexico Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Market
  Table: Defence Agreements
Mexico Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
Honeywell Aerospace
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index
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