Libya Defence and Security Report Q1 2015

Date: November 26, 2014
Pages: 67
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: L4331D85B95EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: It is our belief that Libya finds itself in a troublesome predicament with strong rivalry existing between Islamist leaning factions and state security forces at both the political and military level. BMI views the Libyan crisis as a threat to wider regional stability where neighbouring countries concerned about security on their own borders are becoming increasingly involved. We think that the international community, with the United Nations at the forefront, needs to pressure the political actors to the negotiating table.

Our view is that with the rival establishment of government and parliament in Tripoli by the General National Congress up against the internationally recognised government and parliament to the east of the country, the country is becoming more and more divided. Given that we expect the fighting between Islamist leaning militia's and government backed armed forces led by General Khalif Haftar to be a long drawn out process, we think there is a need for greater pressure by the international community to call for negotiations and an immediate ceasefire. We think that if there are no greater calls for national dialogue, the fluidity of movement on the ground risks dragging in other neighbouring regional actors.
BMI Industry View
Libya Security SWOT
Libya Defence SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (Libya 2011-2018)
  Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (Libya 2011-2018)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Libya 2004-2009)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Libya 2011-2018)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (Libya 2009-2018)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East And Africa Security Risk Index
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Risk Index
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Libya Security Risk Index
Market Overview
Libya Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Domestic Defence Industry
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Arms Trade Overview
Libya Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Regional Power Dynamics
Nuclear Proliferation
External Powers
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Security Risk Index Methodology
  Table: Indicators And Weighting
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