Iran Defence and Security Report Q4 2014

Date: August 20, 2014
Pages: 98
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

Download PDF Leaflet

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We think that the country's nuclear activities will remain a point of contention with the international community for the years to come, and if a comprehensive deal is not signed now, we anticipate an escalation of tensions to unprecedented levels. Hard-line elements within the regime could be given new breeding grounds and Iran will return to producing medium enriched uranium. The U.S. Congress will adopt additional sanctions legislation that seeks to cut Iran completely off the from international oil markets.

The current crisis in Iraq has provided Iran with an advantage to fill the security vacuum left after the U.S. withdrawal. At the same time, it has worsened Iran's security within the region. Given Iran's catastrophic economic situation, it does not have the means, without placing itself in a position of military overstretch to prop up both Bashar al Assad's regime in Syria and the Shiite led government in Iraq. Hence, Iran will have to choose and it will choose Iraq given the deep ties between the two countries and Iraq's proximity to Iran's borders. For Iran, the US, and Saudi Arabia, the Islamic State (IS) is a common enemy, which provides an opportunity for regional cooperation. Further, neither Iran nor the US want the Kurd's to gain independence; both want the territorial integrity of Iraq maintained. Hence, the US is not necessarily opposed to Iran's involvement in Iraq. It would like to see Iran play a stabilising role without heightening ethnic rivalries.

While, this remains a difficult card to play in the current environment, any involvement of Iran in Iraq is likely to result in US accusations that Iran continues to play a spoiler role across the region. Further, Iran's involvement will ultimately escalate further tensions with Saudi Arabia who has yet to come to the terms with the reality of a Shiite dominated government in Iraq.
BMI Industry View
Iran Security SWOT
Iran Defence & Security SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (2011_2018)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Iran 2004-2011)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Iran 2011-2018)
Defence Sector Production
Macroeconomic Forecasts
  Table: Iran - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East And Africa Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Iran Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
Iran Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Industry Trends & Developments
Chemical, Biological & Nuclear
Arms Trade Overview
Iran Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
China Great Wall Industry Corporation
Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
Aerospace Industries Organization
Ammunition & Metallurgy Industries Group
Defence Industries Organization
Iran Electronics Industries
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Security Risk Ratings Methodology
  Table: Indicators And Weighting
Skip to top

Iran Defence and Security Report Q1 2015 US$ 1,295.00 Nov, 2014 · 91 pages
Iran Defence and Security Report Q2 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Jan, 2014 · 106 pages
Iran Defence and Security Report Q3 2014 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2014 · 95 pages
Iran Business Forecast Report Q3 2014 US$ 1,195.00 Apr, 2014 · 44 pages
Iran Business Forecast Report Q1 2015 US$ 1,195.00 Oct, 2014 · 61 pages

Ask Your Question

Iran Defence and Security Report Q4 2014
Company name*:
Contact person*:
Request invoice
Your enquiry:
Please click on a Check Box below to confirm you are not a robot: