Brazil Defence and Security Report Q2 2014

Date: February 12, 2014
Pages: 81
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: B1215B77669EN

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Fallout from revelations in Q313 that the US National Security Agency (NSA) conducted widespread surveillance on Brazilian citizens including Brazil's President, Dilma Roussef, has remained at the centre of security and defence developments in Brazil over the last quarter. With the possible exception of Germany, the Brazilian Government has issued the sternest condemnation of the NSA's surveillance programme. Not only did Roussef cancel an official state visit to Washington scheduled for September, but she also publicly chastised the United States at the UN General Assembly later that month. It is still unclear as to what longterm effects the NSA's actions will have on Brazil-US defence and security ties. However, given developments over the last quarter, BMI can confidently predict that this episode has far from run its course.

Indeed, the Brazilian government would reportedly give strong consideration to any asylum request they were to receive from NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden for asylum. In December 2013 a group of Brazilian senators came out in support of Snowden. In addition the Brazilian press has endorsed the NSA whistleblower, with one Brazilian daily stating that 'if Snowden asks for asylum he should be granted it'.

Any decision by Brasilia to grant asylum would be met by significant consternation in the Washington, who have repeatedly called for Snowden's extradition so that he can stand trial in the United States. However, BMI ultimately believes that it is unlikely the Brazilian government will decide to offer Snowden asylum. Rousseff and her government know how important it is to cultivate Brazil-US relations, particularly given Brazil's economic needs as it continues on its path towards developing a more advance economy.
BMI Industry View
Key BMI forecasts
Recent Developments
Brazil Security SWOT
Brazil Defence SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Brazil Defence Expenditure (2010-2017)
  Table: Brazil Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
  Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated)
Defence Trade
  Table: Brazil Defence Trade Balance (US$mn)
  Table: Brazil Defence Exports (US$mn)
  Table: Brazil Defence Imports (US$mn)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Brazil - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Latin America Risk Reward Ratings
  Table: Latin America Regional Security Ratings
  Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Brazil Security Ratings
Market Overview
Brazil Defence Market Overview
Recent Developments
Armed Forces
Domestic Industries
Brazil Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
AVIBRAS Indústria Aerospacial SA
Regional Overview
Americas Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
  Table: Election Timetable, 2014
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Security Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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