Ukraine Metals Report Q3 2014

Date: June 25, 2014
Pages: 51
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: UEB45969D67EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Ukraine's metals sector will see modest growth over the forecast period, with a handful of new projects to increase production growth. Production will not return to pre-crisis highs, however, due to global overcapacity and steel prices not making substantive gains over 2013. There are no major expansions on the cards, and no major players in either the aluminium or steel industries have announced substantial investment plans.

Figures recorded at the start of 2014 have been disappointing. Ukrainian companies manufactured 477,000mt of steel pipes during January-April 2014, according to figures released by Ukraine's cabinet of ministers. The steel pipe production was down 16.1% year-on-year (y-o-y), the figures revealed. The country's steel pipe production was recorded as 140,600mt in April 2014, up 3.6% month-on-month (m-om), according to the official figures. This does not bode well for the country's near-term outlook and for Ukraine's attempts to hit production targets, which BMI is predicting to increase y-o-y in 2014 and in each consecutive year through to the end of our forecast period in 2018.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Looking To Domestic Demand
Growth To Pick Up Thanks To Construction
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (000 tonnes, Unless Stated Otherwise) (Ukraine 2010-2018)
  Table: Ukraine - Steel Industry Historical Data, 2003-2012 ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
Commodities Forecast
Steel Price Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Global Steel Glut To Persist
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term
Consumption: Growth Decelerating
Excessive Chinese Exports
Growing Arbitrage Between East & West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, US$/tonne (ave)
Monthly Metals Update
Iron Ore: Chinese Stimulus Not A Game Changer
Steel: Gradual Rationalisation Insufficient To Boost Prices
Aluminium: Recent Rally Unlikely To Persist Into H214
Copper: Bearish Forecast Appears Well Placed
Lead: Picking Up Autos Sector Tailwinds
Nickel: Recent Rise To Fall Back In H214
Zinc: Potential Test Of Resistance In Coming Weeks
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Largest European Listed Metals Producers
Company Profile
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
  Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
Latest Results
  Table: Rusal - Supply Chain Analysis
  Table: RUSAL - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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Ukraine Metals Report Q1 2015 US$ 1,295.00 Dec, 2014 · 50 pages
Ukraine Metals Report Q2 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Mar, 2014 · 50 pages

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