Turkey Metals Report Q1 2015

Date: November 12, 2014
Pages: 48
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: T01C6493F06EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite relatively weak growth to be expected over the coming months, the medium-term outlook for Turkey's metals sector remains promising due to strong demand from the domestic construction and autos sectors. Near-term headwinds are likely to include currency weakness making imports of materials more expensive and weak global steel prices squeezing steel-makers' margins. Long-term political risk in Turkey also presents a key downside risk.

Over the medium-term we forecast Turkey's total steel production to grow from 34.7mnt in 2013 to 44.6mnt in 2018. We expect growth to average 5.2% y-o-y over 2014-2018, as we predict a recovery from the negative growth seen during 2013, which was a result of weak global steel prices and a weak lira pushing up the cost of imports of materials.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Stronger Growth Ahead
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Turkey 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Turkey 2005-2012)
Regulatory Development
Political Risk
Economic Risk
Business Environment Risk
Anti-Corruption Drive Paying Off
Tax Regime
  Table: Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Price Headwinds To Persist Despite Market Tightness
Copper: Bounce To Prove Temporary
Nickel: Multiple Price Headwinds To Persist
Zinc: No Sustained Gains
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite
Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon
Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last
Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery
Risks To Price Forecast
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Turkey - Steel Mills
  Table: Turkey - Largest Listed Metal Producers, Key Financial Metrics
Company Profile
Company Strategy
  Table: Erdemir - Financial Data
Company Strategy
  Table: Kardemir - Financial Data
Cross Checks
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Turkey Metals Report Q3 2014 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2014 · 49 pages
Turkey Metals Report Q2 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Feb, 2014 · 47 pages

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