Taiwan Metals Report Q3 2014

Date: July 23, 2014
Pages: 45
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: In Q314 we continue to monitor the effects of overcapacity on the Taiwan steel sector as domestic producers find themselves increasingly challenged from an influx of cheap products from China and other local producers. Despite growing competition, Taiwan's steelmakers are adopting new strategies to compete in an increasingly challenging environment.

The Taiwanese steel industry remains constrained by the ongoing impact of Chinese oversupply on the global steel sector. We expect global prices for the commodity to remain weak over the foreseeable future, which will continue to limit Taiwan's steel production levels.

Continued uncertainty surrounding China's economic outlook coupled with global overcapacity will continue to have a detrimental impact on Taiwan's steel production over the next few years. Our Country Risk team have a downbeat forecast for 2014 Chinese GDP growth, at 6.7%. Despite these headwinds, total Taiwan crude steel output is expected increase by an annual average of 2.2% during the five-year period to 2018, bringing to an end the volatile swings in production seen since 2007.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Production Steady, But Threats Remain
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Taiwan 2010-2018)
  Table: Taiwan - Major Transport Infrastructure Projects, 2014
  Table: Taiwan - Major Power Plant And Transmission Grid Projects, 2014
Regulatory Development
  Table: Taiwan - Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Monthly Metals Update
Iron Ore: Chinese Stimulus Not A Game Changer
Steel: Gradual Rationalisation Insufficient To Boost Prices
Aluminium: Recent Rally Unlikely To Persist Into H214
Copper: Bearish Forecast Appears Well Placed
Lead: Picking Up Autos Sector Tailwinds
Nickel: Recent Rise To Fall Back In H214
Zinc: Potential Test Of Resistance In Coming Weeks
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Steel Price Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Global Steel Glut To Persist
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term
Consumption: Growth Decelerating
Excessive Chinese Exports
Growing Arbitrage Between East & West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, US$/tonne (ave)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Taiwan - Largest Listed Metal Companies
Company Profile
China Steel Corporation
  Table: China Steel Corporation - Financial Results, 2007-2012
Cross Checks
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