Sweden Metals Report Q4 2014

Date: October 8, 2014
Pages: 51
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: BMI's Q4 2014 Sweden Metals report examines the trends within the country's steel and aluminium sectors and assesses the challenges facing the industry's key players as they look to recover from the downturn in metal demand and prices over the past few years. The decline in Sweden's steel production appears to have bottomed out. After contracting by 11.5% yearon- year (y-o-y) in 2012, output grew by 1.8% in 2013 and growth is forecast to accelerate to 3.9% this year.

Following six consecutive quarters of decline, SSAB, the country's largest steel producer and a key bellwether for the market saw a return to profit growth in the first half of 2014 and the firm has raised prices on shipments to the US during the second half of the year. The company's position has been further strengthened by a recent merger with Finnish metals and construction firm Rautaruukki which will grant the new entity greater control over setting prices across the local northern European market.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Production Gathers Momentum
  Table: Sweden - Steel Production & Consumption
  Table: Sweden - Steel Industry Historical Data
Regulatory Development
  Table: Sweden - Domestic Politics
Commodities Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Surplus Set To Slim
Production: Reining In Growth
Consumption: Deceleration Ahead
No Respite From Chinese Exports Over Coming Months
Arbitrage Set To Grow Between East And West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, USD/tonne (average)
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals:
Iron Ore: Price Slump Overdone, Stabilisation In Sight
Steel: Price Forecast Revised Up
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Recent Break Signals Multi-Month Strength
Copper: Subdued Prices Into Q314
Lead: Prices To Strengthen As Deficit Deepens
Nickel: H214 Rally Unlikely
Tin: More Resilient Than Other Metals
Zinc: Sustained Break Unlikely
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Main Steel Producers In Sweden
  Table: European Steelmakers By Market Cap
Company Profile
Latest Results
  Table: Rusal - Supply Chain Analysis
  Table: RUSAL - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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