South Africa Metals Report Q1 2015

Date: November 5, 2014
Pages: 55
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Subdued refined metal prices, elevated energy costs, and continued labour unrest will lead to only modest growth in South Africa's metals industry.

Nevertheless, positive consumption trends will persist, supported by multi-year growth from the auto, construction, and infrastructure sectors. We expect just modest consumption growth of refined metals in South Africa in the coming years on the back of our forecast for the country's economic growth to lag those of its peers over the next decade. Still, the automotive, infrastructure, and construction industries will support demand for steel, aluminium, and nickel.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Consumption Fundamentals Stronger Than Production
Modest Production Outlook
  Table: South Africa - Major Steel Plants
Consumption Fundamentals Stronger Than Production
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (South Africa 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (South Africa 2005-2012)
Aluminium: Production To Decline Despite Consumption Growth
Automotive & Infrastructure Sectors To Support Consumption
Production Hampered By Operational Issues
Upstream Constraints May Pose Challenge
Export Declines Ahead
  Table: Aluminium Production & Consumption (South Africa 2010-2018)
Nickel: Fortunes Rise And Fall With Platinum Industry
Automotive Sector To Underpin Nickel Consumption
Production Hampered By Operational Difficulties
  Table: Refined Nickel Production & Consumption (South Africa 2010-2018)
Regulatory Development
Carbon Tax Delayed To 2016
Labour Unrest To Continue
Tax Regime
  Table: South Africa - Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Price Headwinds To Persist Despite Market Tightness
Copper: Bounce To Prove Temporary
Nickel: Multiple Price Headwinds To Persist
Zinc: No Sustained Gains
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite
Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon
Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last
Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery
Risks To Price Forecast
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: South Africa - Major Steel Production Facilities
  Table: South Africa - Select Listed Metals Producers
Company Profile
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
  Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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