Netherlands Metals Report Q1 2015

Date: December 3, 2014
Pages: 44
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: N23D928B2B3EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: After back-to-back years of volatility in the Dutch metals sector, 2014 looks to have laid the foundation for a prolonged period of stability in terms of both production and consumption. This positive momentum in the sector is set to continue through to the end of our forecast period in 2018. BMI expects steel to continue to dominate the country's metals industry; however, we see no significant new investment in the sub-sector over the coming years. Tata Steel, the largest producer in the country, is facing up to an increasingly hostile and competitive operating environment, with cheap steel and aluminium being exported from China. Nevertheless, opportunities remain in high-quality steel, of which the Netherlands is a key producer.

Long-Term Growth In Output

After posting a contraction in both production and consumption in 2012 and 2013, 2014 heralded a turnaround for the steel industry. We expect the year to close with output up 1.4% and consumption up 2.1% y-o-y. However, BMI cautions that monthly data for steel production in the Netherlands suggests that a strong close to the year will be necessary for such estimates to become a reality. Over the first eight months of the year (correct to data published for August) output rose for five months and contracted for three. Although this leaves the market sat below where it started in 2014, we still maintain our year-end estimates.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Growth To Head Higher
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Netherlands 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Netherlands 2005-2012)
Regulatory Development
  Table: The Netherlands - Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite
Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon
Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last
Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery
Risks To Price Forecast
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Prices To Remain Elevated Following Recent Dip
Copper: Chinese Weakness To Create Further Headwinds
Nickel: No Sustained Rally Ahead
Zinc: Subdued Short-Term Outlook Before Multi-Year Gains
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Largest Listed European Metals Producers
Company Profile
Tata Steel Limited
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Cross Checks
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