Mexico Metals Report Q3 2014

Date: July 11, 2014
Pages: 36
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Mexico Metals Report Q3 2014
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI Forecast: We expect expansion of the automotive, manufacturing, construction, and oil and gas sectors, all of which rely on steel and other refined metals as inputs, will lead to steady production and consumption growth for Mexico's metal sector in 2014-2018. Domestic steel producers are likely to face pressure from both cheaper foreign imports and US duties on Mexican steel, though we do not believe either will significantly impact the sector.

We anticipate strengthening macroeconomic growth in Mexico over the next five years, driven by growth in automotive production, general manufacturing, and infrastructure, will drive production and consumption growth of Mexican metals, particularly steel. We forecast real GDP growth of 3.3% in 2014, far stronger than growth of 1.1% in 2013. For 2015-2018 we forecast average annual growth of 3.8%.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Metals-Intensive Growth
Domestic And Foreign Steelmakers To Grow Production
Imports To Increase
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Mexico 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Mexico 2005-2012)
Regulatory Development
Recent Developments
Business Environment To Remain Supportive
Tax Regime
Anti-Corruption Efforts Remain Priority
  Table: Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Surplus Set To Slim
Production: Reining In Growth
Consumption: Deceleration Ahead
No Respite From Chinese Exports Over Coming Months
Arbitrage Set To Grow Between East And West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, USD/tonne (average)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Mexico - Major Metals Producers
Company Profile
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
  Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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