Malaysia Metals Report Q3 2014

Date: July 11, 2014
Pages: 51
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Malaysia Metals Report Q3 2014
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: BMI's Q3 2014 Malaysia Metals reports analyses developments taking place across the country's metals sector in light of a slowing Chinese economy and increasing competition between regional base metals producers. We are forecasting production of the country's two main metals products - steel and tin - to continue to grow at a steady clip, supported largely by a strong Malaysia economy and robust levels of domestic demand.

H2 2014 will see Malaysia retain its status as a regional outperformer in terms of metals production with steel output set to increase by 9.1% over the year. We retain a positive outlook towards the Malaysian economy in 2014, which we forecast to expand by 4.4%, while we also expect growth in the National Key Economic Areas (NKEAs) to remain relatively robust, lending support to the domestic industry.

In terms of tin production, we expect production levels to return to growth following two years of contracting output, with growth set to come in at 1.8% over the year.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Domestic Demand Key To High Output
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2010-2018)
Tin: Production Recovering, But Challenges Remain
  Table: Refined Tin Production, Consumption & Balance (Malaysia 2010-2018)
Regulatory Development
  Table: Import Duties - Steel Wire Rods
  Table: Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Monthly Metals Update
Iron Ore: Chinese Stimulus Not A Game Changer
Steel: Gradual Rationalisation Insufficient To Boost Prices
Aluminium: Recent Rally Unlikely To Persist Into H214
Copper: Bearish Forecast Appears Well Placed
Lead: Picking Up Autos Sector Tailwinds
Nickel: Recent Rise To Fall Back In H214
Zinc: Potential Test Of Resistance In Coming Weeks
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Steel Price Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Global Steel Glut To Persist
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term
Consumption: Growth Decelerating
Excessive Chinese Exports
Growing Arbitrage Between East & West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, US$/tonne (ave)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Malaysia - Financial Data Of Key Listed Companies
Company Profile
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad
  Table: MSC - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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