Malaysia Metals Report Q2 2014

Date: April 2, 2014
Pages: 48
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: BMI's Q2 2014 Malaysia metals report analyses trends within the country's metals sector as the industry looks to assert its dominance as a leading producer in the Asia-Pacific region. Growth in Malaysian production of key metals such as steel and tin will be assisted by an increasingly supportive government which continues to take steps to increase investment in the sector, while introducing measures to protect the sector against cheap imports, or 'dumping' by foreign companies. In 2014, we forecast growth in Malaysian production of both steel and tin, with output forecast to grow by 9.1% and 1.8% year-on-year respectively. 2014 promises to be a solid year of growth across Malaysia's metals sector. With the Chinese economy set to cool in 2014 (we forecast GDP growth of 6.7%), Malaysian metals producers will be looking to the domestic market to drive demand, rather than imports. We retain a positive outlook towards the Malaysian economy in 2014, which we forecast to expand by 4.4%. We expect growth in the National Key Economic Areas (NKEAs) to remain relatively robust, lending support to the domestic industry.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Demand Turning Inwards
  Table: Malaysia - Steel Production And Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 (kt)
Tin: Production Recovering, But Challenges Remain
  Table: Malaysia - Refined Tin Production Data And Forecast (kt)
Regulatory Development
  Table: Import Duties - Steel Wire Rods
  Table: Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Monthly Metals Update
Steel: Locked In Secular Downtrend
Aluminium: US$1,800/tonne To Provide Strong Support
Copper: Bearish View In Place Despite Some Recovery
Nickel: Despite Recent Gains, Downside Risks Dominate
Zinc: Channelling Support
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI forecasts
  Table: BMI Commodities Strategy
Steel Price Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Global Steel Glut To Persist
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term
Consumption: Growth Decelerating
Excessive Chinese Exports
Growing Arbitrage Between East & West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, US$/tonne (ave)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Malaysia - Financial Data Of Key Listed Companies
Company Profile
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad
  Table: MSC - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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