Germany Metals Report Q4 2014

Date: October 8, 2014
Pages: 59
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: GD92979D4B0EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Germany's metals sector will continue to feel the squeeze as output prices remain low and costs stay stubbornly high. We forecast subdued growth in consumption of key metals such as steel, copper and aluminium, chiefly due to a muted outlook for economic activity in the country. Key metal consuming sectors such as autos and construction will remain weak. For autos production, we do not foresee a return to growth until 2018 at the earliest. Illustrative of challenges faced by the wider metals sector, steel mills will remain under significant pressure, as low output prices squeeze margins. This will encourage consolidation of operations and dampen output growth. We forecast that steel production will post only erratic growth in the coming years, as low prices will continue to bite.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Only Modest Growth On The Horizon
Production To Remain Under Pressure
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Germany 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Germany 2005-2012)
Aluminium: Weak Prices To Restrain Production Growth
  Table: Aluminium Production & Consumption (Germany 2010-2018)
Copper: Sector To Struggle
  Table: Refined Copper Production, Consumption & Balance (Germany 2010-2018)
Regulatory Development
  Table: Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals:
Steel: Prices To Remain Subdued
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Price Strength To Continue In Q314
Copper: Further Decline By Year's End
Lead: Constructive Price Outlook
Nickel: Moderation To Continue
Tin: Upside Ahead
Zinc: Consolidation Before Multi-Year Gains
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite
Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon
Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last
Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery
Risks To Price Forecast
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Germany - Largest Listed Metals Producers
Company Profile
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
  Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
ThyssenKrupp AG
  Table: ThyssenKrupp - Key Financial Data
Aurubis AG
  Table: Aurubis - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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