Germany Metals Report Q3 2014

Date: July 11, 2014
Pages: 62
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Germany Metals Report Q3 2014
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Germany's metals sector will continue to feel the squeeze as output prices remain low and costs stay stubbornly high. We forecast subdued growth in consumption of key metals such as steel, copper and aluminium, chiefly due to a muted outlook for economic activity in the country. Key metal consuming sectors such as autos and construction will remain weak. For autos production, we do not foresee a return to growth until 2018 at the earliest.

Illustrative of challenges faced by the wider metals sector, steel mills will remain under significant pressure, as low output prices squeeze margins. This will encourage consolidation of operations and dampen output growth. We forecast that steel production will post only erratic growth in the coming years, as low prices will continue to bite.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Few Gains Ahead
Production To Remain Under Pressure
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Germany 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Germany 2005-2012)
Aluminium: Low Prices To Constrain Sector
  Table: Aluminium Production & Consumption (Germany 2010-2018)
Copper: Sector To Struggle
  Table: Refined Copper Production, Consumption & Balance (Germany 2010-2018)
Lead: Holding Steady
  Table: Germany - Lead Production & Consumption
Regulatory Development
  Table: Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Iron Ore: Not Much Respite In Sight
Steel: Production Rationalisation Too Slow To Provide Price Upside
Aluminium: Further Price Rally Unlikely
Lead: Ripe For A H214 Boost
Copper: Consensus Moving Our Way
Nickel: Price Surge To Abate Further
Tin: In A Sweet Spot
Zinc: Bullish Short-Term Picture
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Commodities Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Surplus Set To Slim
Production: Reining In Growth
Consumption: Deceleration Ahead
No Respite From Chinese Exports Over Coming Months
Arbitrage Set To Grow Between East And West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, USD/tonne (average)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Germany - Largest Listed Metals Producers
Company Profile
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
  Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
ThyssenKrupp AG
  Table: ThyssenKrupp - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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