France Metals Report Q1 2015

Date: December 3, 2014
Pages: 50
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

France's metals sector is set for an extended period of very modest but uninterrupted growth in terms of both output and consumption through to the end of our forecast period in 2018. As long as major producers in the sector hold back on investment, however, we will not see growth accelerating at a rate any faster than the broader European market. Within the metals industry, steel will continue to dominate the country's metals industry, aided by a turnaround in the fortunes of France's domestic autos industry in 2015. ArcelorMittal and Rio Tinto, the two largest producers in the country, are facing an increasingly hostile and competitive operating environment, with steel still cheap on a relative basis and aluminium being exported from China. We therefore do not expect France to return to pre-2008 rates of production or consumption before the end of our forecast period to 2018.

Uncertainty surrounds the future of ArcelorMittal's Florange steel mill, which has turned into an increasingly fraught political dispute. By 2013, a deal by the government to save the plant from closure with a five-year investment programme appeared to have failed due to technical difficulties, but it seemed unlikely the government would carry through with its threat to nationalise the facility.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Weak Growth Outlook As Economy Stalls
Demand: Improving Outlook For Autos In 2015
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (France 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (France 2006-2013)
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Price Headwinds To Persist Despite Market Tightness
Copper: Bounce To Prove Temporary
Nickel: Multiple Price Headwinds To Persist
Zinc: No Sustained Gains
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite
Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon
Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last
Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery
Risks To Price Forecast
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Metals Industry - Key Facilities
  Table: Largest Listed European Listed Metals Producers
Company Profile
Rio Tinto - Q115
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
  Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
  Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
Cross Checks
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