Egypt Metals Report Q4 2014

Date: August 20, 2014
Pages: 47
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We forecast modest growth in the Egyptian steel sector over the coming years, in line with our outlook for the wider economy. We are taking into account the influence of the weak Egyptian pound on the sector and whether depreciation is sufficient to compete in an over-supplied regional market. We expect the worsening political situation to weigh on growth.

We remain positive about the effects of Egypt's transition towards a democratic government, as investors will begin to look more favourably towards the country as a potential market to work with. We have seen these positive effects on the country are already beginning to show. For 2014, we forecast steady Egyptian steel production growth on the back of greater investment in expanding production capacity and more stability in the country following the 2013 ouster of the Muslim Brotherhood, as well as greater investment pouring in from Gulf countries looking diversify their regional portfolios.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Need For Imports To Fill The Deficit
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Egypt 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Egypt 2005-2012)
  Table: Egypt - Steel Production Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated)
Regulatory Development
Tax Regime
Corruption: A Key Concern
  Table: Egypt - Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Surplus Set To Slim
Production: Reining In Growth
Consumption: Deceleration Ahead
No Respite From Chinese Exports Over Coming Months
Arbitrage Set To Grow Between East And West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, USD/tonne (average)
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals:
Iron Ore: Price Slump Overdone, Stabilisation In Sight
Steel: Price Forecast Revised Up
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Recent Break Signals Multi-Month Strength
Copper: Subdued Prices Into Q314
Lead: Prices To Strengthen As Deficit Deepens
Nickel: H214 Rally Unlikely
Tin: More Resilient Than Other Metals
Zinc: Sustained Break Unlikely
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Ezz Steel Facilities
  Table: MENA - Largest Metal Companies
Company Profile
Ezz Steel
  Table: Ezz Steel - Financial Data
Cross Checks
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Egypt Metals Report Q1 2015 US$ 1,295.00 Oct, 2014 · 44 pages
Egypt Metals Report Q2 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Jan, 2014 · 42 pages
Egypt Metals Report Q3 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Apr, 2014 · 44 pages

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