Egypt Metals Report Q3 2014

Date: April 30, 2014
Pages: 44
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: EF68142AB04EN

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BMI View: We forecast modest growth in the Egyptian steel sector over the coming years, in line with our outlook for the wider economy. We are taking into account the influence of the weak Egyptian pound on the sector and whether depreciation is sufficient to compete in an over-supplied regional market. We expect the worsening political situation to weigh on growth.

We remain positive about the effects of Egypt's transition towards a democratic government, as investors will begin to look more favourably towards the country as a potential market to work with. We have seen these positive effects on the country are already beginning to show. For 2014, we forecast steady Egyptian steel production growth on the back of greater investment in expanding production capacity and more stability in the country following the 2013 ouster of the Muslim Brotherhood, as well as greater investment pouring in from Gulf countries looking diversify their regional portfolios.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Need For Imports To Fill The Deficit
  Table: Egypt - Steel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated)
  Table: Egypt - Steel Production Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated)
Regulatory Development
Tax Regime
Corruption: A Key Concern
  Table: Egypt - Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Iron Ore: Fading Iron Will
Steel: Global Glut To Weigh On Prices
Aluminium: Fundamentals To Remain Weak
Copper: All Eyes On China
Lead: Outperforming Its Troubled Peers
Nickel: Monthly Outperformer
Tin: Outperforming A Weak Field
Zinc: Further Consolidation Likely
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Steel Price Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Global Steel Glut To Persist
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term
Consumption: Growth Decelerating
Excessive Chinese Exports
Growing Arbitrage Between East & West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, US$/tonne (ave)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Ezz Steel Facilities
  Table: MENA - Largest Metal Companies
Company Profile
Ezz Steel
  Table: Ezz Steel - Financial Data
Cross Checks
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