Austria Metals Report Q4 2014

Date: September 3, 2014
Pages: 42
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: A6AB5847239EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI's latest Austria Metals Report assesses the prospects for growth in the steel industry over the mediumterm following a return to growth in output and a continuation in year-on-year (y-o-y) growth in consumption during the 2013 full-year. Within it, our forecasts for the industry run out to 2018. The report examines the risk and investment strategies of leading players in the industry. It also examines the impact of a decline in the eurozone, particularly the German market, on Austrian exports.

The performance of Austria's steel industry returned to growth once more in 2013, after deteriorating by 0.6% in 2012. Indeed in 2013, crude output increased by 0.5% to 7.46mnt. BMI estimates that consumption levels continued their upward trend for the fourth year running in 2013, rising by 1.2% from 4.78mnt as at December 31 2012 to 4.84mnt a year later. Going forward, BMI is forecasting both output and consumption to increase in 2014 by 0.8% and 1.0%, respectively, y-o-y. Looking further ahead into 2015, while we forecast consumption to continue accelerating, we see production contracting in volume once more to close the year at 7,443mnt compared with 7,518mnt a year earlier.
BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Little Growth Ahead
  Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Austria 2010-2018)
  Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Austria 2005-2012)
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals:
Iron Ore: Price Slump Overdone, Stabilisation In Sight
Steel: Price Forecast Revised Up
Non-Ferrous Metals:
Aluminium: Recent Break Signals Multi-Month Strength
Copper: Subdued Prices Into Q314
Lead: Prices To Strengthen As Deficit Deepens
Nickel: H214 Rally Unlikely
Tin: More Resilient Than Other Metals
Zinc: Sustained Break Unlikely
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Commodities Forecast
  Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook
Core View
Surplus Set To Slim
Production: Reining In Growth
Consumption: Deceleration Ahead
No Respite From Chinese Exports Over Coming Months
Arbitrage Set To Grow Between East And West
Risks To Price Outlook
  Table: Steel Data & Forecasts
  Table: Global Steel Prices By Region & Product, USD/tonne (average)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Europe - Major Listed Metal Producers
Company Profile
  Table: Voestalpine - Financial Results
Cross Checks
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Austria Metals Report Q1 2013 US$ 1,175.00 Jan, 2013 · 47 pages
Austria Metals Report Q2 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Feb, 2014 · 39 pages
Austria Metals Report Q3 2014 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2014 · 42 pages

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