Zimbabwe Autos Report Q2 2015

Date: January 30, 2015
Pages: 52
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: ZF05B88859CEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

According to Renault Group, which tracks industry sales in Zimbabwe, domestic auto sales contracted by 10.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in November 2014 to 588 units. This brought sales for the first 11 months of 2014 to 6,460 units, a decline of 10.3% y-o-y. We have downgraded our 2014 sales estimate and see the market contracting by 10.0%. However, sales will see a modest recovery in 2015 and we forecast growth to come in at 5.0%.

One major headwind we see for sales over the next few years is the recent increase in duties on car imports. While we believe this move is also influenced by the government's intention to develop the local auto sector, we have previously voiced our view that the local production industry has too many flawed fundamentals to support the demand created by such protectionist policies.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
  Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2013-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (Zimbabwe 2009-2018)
Industry Risk Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk and Reward Index
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Regional Overview
South Africa: The Established Industry
Kenya: The Developing Hub
Nigeria: The Rising Star
The Current Picture
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
Africa Still The Growth Driver
Oil Prices A Boon For Importers
Regulation Driving Innovation
  Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
SUVs To Be Segment Of Choice
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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