Hong Kong Autos Report Q4 2015

Date: September 16, 2015
Pages: 55
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: H4E79CEB42DEN
Leaflet:

Download PDF Leaflet

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Passenger Car Sales

According to the Hong Kong Department of Transport, domestic passenger car sales declined by 9.5% y-oy in April 2015 to 2,578 units, which is in line with our expectations of a more challenging market for the sector despite a strong start. This brings passenger car sales for the first four months of 2015 to 12,806 units, representing growth of 1.2% y-o-y. As we expect additional headwinds to weigh on passenger car sales in the latter half of the year, we now forecast passenger car sales to grow by 2.1% in 2015, down from 3.8% previously.

A key risk which we foresee over the coming quarters is a cooling property market will weigh on consumer sentiment. Our Country Risk team sees an increasing likelihood of a property price correction as demand from mainland Chinese investors, which have traditionally been an important source of demand for Hong Kong real estate, dries up due to the ongoing anti-corruption drive in China. A decline in property prices would hurt consumer sentiment and could easily have a negative spill over effect on passenger car demand.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
  Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019)
  Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019)
  Table: Ex-Gratia Payment Scheme
  Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019)
  Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019)
Competitive Landscape
Passenger Vehicles
  Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (Hong Kong 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Developed States Still Lead
Frontier Markets Are A Risky Bet
On The Bubble
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Crown Motors
Mercedes-Benz Hong Kong
Sime Darby China
Regional Overview
Asia Overview
Replacement Cycle Aids Growth
Bigger Markets Lagging
Smaller Markets Have Untapped Potential
Global Industry Overview
Asia Overview
Replacement Cycle Aids Growth
Bigger Markets Lagging
Smaller Markets Have Untapped Potential
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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