Algeria Autos Report Q4 2015

Date: August 19, 2015
Pages: 72
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: A299EE0B038EN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The near-term outlook for Algerian new vehicle sales has become even more negative over the past quarter, partly as a result of new vehicle import regulations introduced in April 2015 that have reduced the amount of imported vehicles that are passed as suitable for sale on Algerian roads by the local authorities. These new import regulations have also reportedly had the by-product of local banks being told by the government not to accept non-compliant vehicles as suitable for delivery to local dealerships, which has led to a situation where there could be as many as 40,000 vehicles currently impounded in Algerian ports waiting for clearance, according to local media reports.

BMI was already forecasting an 8% decline in new vehicle sales for 2015. However, given recent poor monthly sales data and uncertainty over these new import regulations and when the effective blockade of auto imports will be lifted, we are now revising this down to a 20% decline, with a combination of falling oil prices, a slowing economy and rising inflation all likely to continue weighing on demand for new passenger cars and commercial vehicles over the remainder of 2015.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
  Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2019)
Sales
Production
Trade
Passenger Vehicles
  Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2019)
  Table: Algeria - Car Sales By Brand 2014
Commercial Vehicles
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus Forecasts - Brent
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Sub-Saharan Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Outperformers Are Production Hubs
Policy Not Always Positive
Weak Currency A Barrier To Improvement
Company Profile
Volvo
Peugeot
Renault Algérie
Hyundai Motor
Regional Overview
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Autos Production Investment
Kenya Builds On Hub Advantage
Slowly But Surely For Cameroon
Nigerian Policy Keeps Investment Coming In
Global Industry Overview
1 CURRENCY WEAKNESS HURTING AFRICAN GROWTH
2 INCREASING LOCAL CONTENT IN TROUBLE SPOTS
3 SUVS ROLLING ON
4 TECH/AUTOS LINES ARE BLURRING
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Algeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Algeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Algeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Algeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Algeria 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Morocco 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Morocco 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Morocco 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Morocco 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Morocco 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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Algeria Autos Report Q1 2015 US$ 1,295.00 Nov, 2014 · 60 pages
Algeria Autos Report Q2 2015 US$ 1,295.00 Feb, 2015 · 67 pages
Algeria Autos Report Q3 2014 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2014 · 62 pages
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