Turkmenistan Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Date: May 11, 2016
Pages: 100
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have strongly reduced our gas production outlook for Turkmenistan this quarter on the back of increasingly limited export options for the country: Russia and Iran are curtailing imports and Chinese gas intakes will grow at a slower pace than expected on the back of slowing economic growth. This leaves Turkmenistan increasingly dependent on China, with little credible export market alternatives over the short-to-medium term.
  • A renewed emphasis on international investment, along with developments by Turkmennebit, has lead to a slow but progressive increase in oil production. This will endure over the coming years. Larger production growth within our forecast period, however, is unlikely until a sustainable agreement is reached between Iran, Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan on the Caspian maritime border dispute.
  • The difficult business environment could, however, dissuade international investors, notably at a time of capital expenditure cut backs as oil prices remain low. For example, German company DEA Deutsche Erdoel is reportedly planning to relinquish its Caspian Sea concession as of October 2015 over frustration at excess bureaucracy, corruption and a lack of permit granting.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2014-2020)
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
  Table: Turkmenistan Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Oil Production (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Oil Production (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Production (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Production (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Consumption (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Consumption (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Turkmenistan 2014-2020)
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Turkmenistan 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Turkmenistan 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Regional Risk/Reward Index Averages - High Risk, Low Reward In Central And Eastern Europe
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: China Still The Target Market
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Turkmenistan - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Turkmenistan Energy Market Overview
Overview/State Role
Licensing And Regulation
Government Policy
International Energy Relations
  Table: Upstream Projects
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
Gas Pipelines
  Table: TAPI Timeline
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies
  Table: Key Upstream Players
  Table: Downstream Players
Company Profile
ENOC/Dragon Oil
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Output Growth Stalling
Oil Consumption: Weak EM Growth Softens Demand
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Growth
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Depends On China's Hunger
  Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Oil And Gas Production And Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Weighting
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