Slovenia Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Date: June 29, 2016
Pages: 57
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Slovenia's upstream sector remains close to inexistent, with little to no oil or gas production within our forecast period. While there is upside risk in the gas segment attributed to the Ascentoperated Petišovci tight gas project, the initiative faces continued regulatory and funding headwinds. Overall volumes are likely to be relatively modest in the case of project realisation, with imported Russian gas set to dominate supply for the foreseeable future.

The main trends and developments in Slovenia's oil and gas sector are:
  • There is evidence of commercial gas deposits close to the Hungarian border that can be exploited for power generation purposes. However, given project delays, we do not include it within our reserves or production forecast. The country's upstream reserves currently remain extremely limited.
  • Slovenian natural gas production will remain limited throughout our forecast period, thanks to the lack of upstream development in the country. While the long-delayed Petišovci project poses upside risk to our forecast, we maintain our more modest outlook, given continued financial and regulatory delays associated with the initiative.
  • In May 2016, it was reported that the country's Administrative Supreme Court withdrew the provisional IPPC permit granted by the Slovenian Environment Agency in June 2015. The Court decision will delay the company's long-term plan for the field to have gas treated and sold in Slovenia.
  • Despite the IPCC application refusal, early production plans should not be under threat. The company had been studying two alternative options to market early gas production: selling the raw gas to a neighbouring and newly re-opened methanol plant, or outsourcing gas processing to a third party. However, in all cases Ascent highlights that for the project to move into full field development, the new processing plant (and thereby the IPCC award) remains crucial as the other two options would only enable limited uptakes of gas. As such, while these two options are viable for early production, a new processing plant is required for the production of higher volumes of gas and for bringing field production to its full capacity.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2020)
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Upstream Production - Oil
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Production (Slovenia 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Production (Slovenia 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Slovenia 2014-2019)
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Slovenia 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
  Table: Gas Consumption (Slovenia 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Consumption (Slovenia 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Slovenia 2014-2019)
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Slovenia 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Slovenia 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Slovenia 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
  Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward
  Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: China Still The Target Market
  Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market
  Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Slovenia - Risk/Reward Index
Slovenia Upstream Score - Overview
Slovenia Upstream Score - Rewards
Slovenia Upstream Score - Risks
Slovenia Downstream Score - Overview
Market Overview
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
  Table: Refineries In Slovenia
Service Stations
Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
  Table: Key Downstream Players
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Oil Powerhouses Falter On Weak Prices
Oil Consumption: Short-Term Weakness As Russia Struggles
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Key To Competing
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Demand Dependent
  Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies
  Table: Central & Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Production & Consumption, Refining Capacity & Trade
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Weighting
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