Russia Power Report Q4 2016

Date: August 10, 2016
Pages: 84
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Russia's power sector continues to suffer from the effects of an ongoing economic recession and sanction regime, a weakened currency, and low oil prices. Based on consequent subdued consumption levels paired with high investment uncertainty, we continue to expect muted growth for our ten-year forecast despite the country's rich resource endowment and size of its market.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • The broader economic and political backdrop frames our views on the Russian power sector in 2016. The annexation of Crimea and perceived Russian belligerence towards the West has shattered investor confidence and will deter significant foreign investment. Meanwhile, global oil prices of between USD30/bbl in early 2016 and USD45/bbl in mid-2016 have made the government's budget assumptions untenable, which will necessitate further spending cuts. At the same time, tight credit conditions - exacerbated by international sanctions - will drag on economic growth.
  • These Fiscal pressures in Russia appear to be accelerating the privatisation of stakes in state-owned companies, including state-owned oil giant Rosneft. That said, we are very sceptical that this will play out according to plan, given deep suspicion among the Russian population of privatisations following the experience of the 1990s, as well as the reluctance of President Vladimir Putin to relinquish control over strategic assets, and in particular at severely discounted valuations.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Russia 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
Russia Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Russia 2015-2020)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Russia 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Russia Power Forecast Scenario
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast
  Table: Russia's Energy Strategy 2030
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution, Import And Export
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Russia Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Russia Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Federal Grid Company (FGC)
Gazprom Energoholding
Company Profile
Inter RAO
EON (Unipro)
Regional Overview
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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