Mexico Power Report Q4 2016

Date: September 3, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The launch of a new long-term energy auction and the announcement of tenders for power transmission projects underscore our view that the Mexican power market will offer multiple business opportunities over the coming years. These developments, coupled with Mexico's robust macroeconomic prospects and government plans for significant investment in the industry, continue to support our positive outlook for the Mexican power sector - with natural gas and renewables to outperform.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • In May 2016, the Mexican government (via the agency managing the wholesale power market, Cenace) issued a tender for a second long-term energy and capacity auction, which is scheduled to be concluded in September 2016. Similarly to the auction held in March 2016, Cenace will sign long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with the auction's winners, and clean energy certiticates (CELs) will also be awarded.
  • In July 2016, it was reported that 87 companies plus productive state enterprise Comision Federal de Electricidad (CFE) have expressed interest in participating in the auction. Also in July, the Mexican government signed 18 long-term power generation contracts with the 11 companies that had presented the winning bids at the first auction in April.
  • In July 2016 the CFE announced that electricity tariffs for industrial, residential and commercial clients would rise in the month of July - the first time electricity prices head higher in more than one year. The CFE blamed the expected hike on an increase in the price of natural gas and fuel oil compared to the previous month. While Henry Hub and WTI prices rose in June, we think that the MXN sell-off in Q2 2016 exacerbated the impact on the cost of generating electricity via higher import expenses for the CFE - given Mexico's high reliance on natural gas imports from the US.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecast (Mexico 2014-2020)
Industry Forecast
Mexico Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mexico 2015-2020)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mexico 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Mexico Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Nuclear Power Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
LatAm Risk & Reward Index (RRI): Macroeconomic Dynamics Weighing On Outlook
Mexico Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Mexico Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Pemex Cogeneration Projects
Comision Federal de Electricidad
Gas Natural Fenosa
Regional Overview
LatAm Power: Key Regional Themes
  Table: New Opportunities In LatAm Power Transmission Sector
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Mexico Power Report Q4 2016
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