Kazakhstan Power Report Q2 2016

Date: March 16, 2016
Pages: 51
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: KA432A14C12EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: This quarter we have extended our forecasts to 2025. This notwithstanding, our view on the Kazakhstan's power market remains largely unvaried. We continue to expect healthy growth in Kazakhstan's power sector over BMI's 10-year forecast period to 2025, in terms of generation and consumption. Although coal will continue to maintain its dominance over our ten-year forecast period to 2025, non-hydro renewables will grow rapidly, with a slew of foreign-financed wind and solar projects in the pipeline. The government also plans to restart the exploitation of nuclear energy, helped by Kazakhstan's vast uranium wealth. Power production will comfortably meet demand, with Kazakhstan's dependence on energy imports decreasing over our forecast period.
  • We expect the Kazakh solar power sector to register limited growth over the next five years, as a result of the sporadic completion of only a small number of solar power projects. This will be in large part the result of investment prospects in the sector being undermined by uncertainty over the country's economic outlook and Kazakhstan's challenging business environment.
  • Kazakhstan remains committed in developing its first nuclear power plant. In October 2015, Kazakhstan's Vice-Minister of Energy Bakhytzhan Dzhaksaliyev said Kazakhstan will decide the location and strategic partner for its first nuclear power station in the following two to three years.
  • In October 2015, Kazakhstan announced that, 65 of the largest Kazakh state-controlled companies in the oil and gas, transportation, energy and nuclear sectors, including Samruk Energo will be privatised via an IPO between 2016 and 2020. The decision to sell a stake in the state-controlled energy companies was precipitated by both political and economic factors: the country's export-driven, hydrocarbon-based economy suffered greatly amid crashing commodities prices, and mismanagement of its currency exacerbated these problems further.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
Kazakhstan Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Kazakhstan 2015-2020)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
  Table: Kazakhstan Snapshot: Power Sector
Kazakhstan Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index
Kazakhstan Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation and Competition
Kazakhstan Power Projects Database
  Table: Kazakhstan Power - Top 10 Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Regional Overview
Europe - CEE Power: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables
  Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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