Kazakhstan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Date: November 25, 2015
Pages: 129
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: K1D8D69D393EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite prolonged delays at the giant Kashagan field, which are suppressing Kazakhstan's huge underground potential, and the gradually worsening regulatory environment, we maintain a positive longer-term outlook for the country's oil & gas sector. The Kashagan and Tengiz projects will maintain oil production capacity and boost overall production by some 200,000b/d over our forecast period.

Key developments in Kazakhstan's oil & gas industry:
  • This quarter, we have revised down our oil production forecast for Kazakhstan to take into account continued delays on the Kashagan oil field and the lack of final investment decision for the Tengiz field expansion. We now expect first oil from Kashagan in mid-2017, and from the Tengiz expansion in 2021. Oil production will continue on a slow upward trend, boosted by these two key projects.
  • We expect a minor increase in refining capacity in 2017 following the modernisation and upgrading works at the three refineries. Gasoline production will be boosted and lower grade residual fuels production will be reduced. We note upside risk to refining capacity at the tail-end of our forecast period from capacity expansion plans at the Shymkent refinery.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2019)
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
  Table: Kazakhstan Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Oil Production (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Oil Production (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Production (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Gas Production (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Consumption (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Gas Consumption (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Crude Trade Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2019)
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
  Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward
  Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: China Still The Target Market
  Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market
  Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Kazakhstan - Risk/Reward Index
Upstream - Rewards
Upstream - Risks
Downstream - Rewards
Downstream - Risks
Market Overview
Kazakhstan Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Structure
Fiscal Regime
  Table: Kazakhstan Fiscal Regime
Licensing Regime
  Table: Kazakhstan Licensing Regime
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
  Table: Major Refineries In Kazakhstan
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
Gas Storage Facilities
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
  Table: Key Players - Kazakhstan Oil And Gas Sector
Company Profile
BG Kazakhstan
Eni Kazakhstan
ExxonMobil Kazakhstan
Lukoil Kazakhstan
Shell Kazakhstan
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Caspian Remains Centre Of Growth
Oil Consumption: Fuels Demand Gradually Strengthening
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Additions
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up To Feed Red Dragon
  Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies
  Table: Central & Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Production & Consumption, Refining Capacity & Trade
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Weighting
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