Italy Power Report Q3 2016

Date: June 29, 2016
Pages: 66
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Italy's power sector faces numerous challenges in the short- to medium term. As well as falling energy prices across Europe, consumption rates are also declining in Italy, undermining demand for any new installed capacity. Many power firms are phasing out ageing coal-fired power plants and overall we expect to see a decline in thermal capacity over the forecast period. Some growth will be realised in the non-hydropower renewables sector, particularly solar and wind power, which are already well established in Italy. We also expect to see further solid investment in the country's national transmission grid, as well as upgrades and expansion work to cross-border connections. The primary risk to our forecasts, and to investor interest, stems from an uncertain regulatory environment in relation to renewable energy subsidies beyond end-2016.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • Natural-gas fired power is currently the largest single contributor to Italy's domestic energy mix, accounting for almost 45% of total electricity generation in 2016. Falling gas prices throughout Europe, while potentially boosting short-term profit margins, will undermine investor interest in this sector and we expect to see limited growth in natural-gas generation throughout the forecast period through to 2025.
  • The outlook is more subdued for coal and oil-fired thermal power. Ageing thermal infrastructure is being phased out and in 2016 we expect coal-fired generation to contract
  • 12.9%, while oil-fired power will fall 21.0%, with further declines expected throughout the ten-year forecast period.
  • In contrast, non-hydropower renewables will see slow, but steady growth as new wind and solar power plants are brought online. The wind power sector will receive a short-term boost from the April 2016 European Commission approval of regulatory updates, which will release EUR400mn in subsidies for the year, although a lack of clarity for post-2016 subsidies remains a headwind to growth.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Italy 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
Italy Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Italy 2015-2019)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Italy 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Italy Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution, Imports & Exports
  Table: Italy's Recent Power Transmission Sector Developments
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Italy 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
NAWE Power RRI: US Outperforms Tepid European Power Markets
Italy Power Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Italy Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Other Companies: Risk To Profits Will Encourage Thermal Power Consolidation
Company Profile
Regional Overview
NAWE Power Key Themes
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Italy Power Report Q2 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Apr, 2016 · 66 pages
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