India Power Report Q3 2016

Date: July 6, 2016
Pages: 75
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our view that power sector reforms would be a top priority for Modi's government is playing out. We are seeing notable progress in the Indian power market regarding renewable energy `expansion, reducing red tape for power projects and improving fuel availability for thermal generation. That said, investment in India's power grid infrastructure will need to increase if Prime Minister Modi's ambitious power plans are to be realised. The transmission and distribution network remains highly inefficient, posing a significant risk to the expansion of the power and renewables sector in India. Reforming power tariffs will therefore be fundamental to ensuring sustainable supply and achieving Modi's power expansion ambitions.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • The sizeable coal power project pipeline and the widespread availability of coal - from low cost Asia seaborne imports and growing domestic production - will ensure coal will remain the dominant fuel choice for India's power sector, despite growth in alternative sources, such as nuclear and renewables. We forecast coal to contribute 64% to India's power generation mix in 2025.
  • Since coming to power, the government has relaxed several environmental rules to make it easier for companies to develop new projects. Small and medium-sized coal miners can now expand production by 50% without public consent, while polluting industries can operate closer to national parks. This relaxation of environmental laws has translated into a major reduction in red tape for the power sector and significant progress has been made with clearing the backlog of projects awaiting environmental approval.
  • The revival of nine stranded gas-fired plants in March 2016 shows that gas power can operate economically without liquefied natural gas (LNG) subsidies. Although this reinforces our outlook that India's LNG imports will grow as a result of cheaper LNG spot prices, limitations to the gas pipeline network will constrain gas consumption by the power sector.
  • India will maintain its position as a key global renewables market, as ongoing support from the government drives growth. The solar sector will register the greatest expansion, with high installation rates across both residential and utility-scale projects. Risks are emerging, and continued high levels of investor interest in the market will be contingent on the timely realisation of the vast existing project pipeline.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (India 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
India Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (India 2015-2019)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (India 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
India Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Power Generation And Capacity
Nuclear Power Generation and Capacity
Hydropower Generation And Capacity
Renewables Generation And Capacity
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (India 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (India 2020-2025)
Power Risk/Reward Index
Asia Power RRI: China's Score Slipping, India Pushing Ahead
  Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
India Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
India Power Projects Database
  Table: India - Top 10 Power Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Power Grid
National Thermal Power Corporation
National Hydroelectric Power Corporation
Nuclear Power Corporation Of India
Company Profile
National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC)
National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC)
Regional Overview
Asia - Asia Power: Shifting Fuel Dynamics, Coal Still King
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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