Hungary Power Report Q2 2016

Date: March 9, 2016
Pages: 49
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: HC4DD196360EN

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BMI View: Hungary's power sector is well developed, with an extensive national supply grid, including cross-border interconnections, and significant domestic generation and capacity. We expect consumption to grow only slowly over the forecast period and this, along with government measures to keep electricity prices well below the regional norm, is deterring investors from committing to new power projects. With few projects in the pipeline, we expect total generation to increase only incrementally between 2016 and 2025. As such Hungary will remain heavily reliant on nuclear power and natural-gas fired power which together account for almost 75% of domestic generation, with limited renewable capacity.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends
  • Hungary's government has reiterated its commitment to expanding nuclear power capacity via the construction of new reactors at Paks. The works have come under criticism from environmental action groups and neighbouring states such as Austria. The project has also been investigated by the European Commission.
  • Development of the South Stream gas pipeline may be delayed following news Gazprom has terminated a contract on the construction of a section of the pipeline. The EUR16bn (USD17.3bn) scheme, initially slated to be commissioned by end-2015, was expected to reach full capacity of 63bn cubic metres a year by 2017. The European Commission noted the pipeline project runs counter to the EU law, following which Bulgaria suspended construction of its land until the scheme conforms to the EU requirements.
  • The project pipeline remains restricted and as such we are maintaining our current forecasts for minimal growth of less than 1% annually in total generation throughout the forecast period, with small gains in nuclear, natural gas and renewables power compensating for declines in oil and coal fired generation.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
Hungary Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Hungary 2014-2019)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Hungary 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Hungary Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Hungary 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Regional Risk Reward Index
Hungary Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
  Table: Half-yearly electricity and gas prices, second half of year, 2012-14 (EUR per kWh)
Hungary Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Regional Overview
Europe - CEE Power: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables
  Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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