Congo Oil and Gas Report Q3 2013

Date: May 29, 2013
Pages: 87
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: C8E8194E718EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: With production in steady decline and few major projects expected to come onstream over the next few years, the Republic of Congo (RoC)'s upstream oil outlook does not inspire much confidence. However, Eni's vast oil sands project in the country's south could offer some long-term opportunities. If this project is realised, this would be the first of its kind on the continent.

The main trends and developments for the RoC's oil and gas sector are:

BMI expects oil production to decline steadily due to most of the production coming from mature fields and the lack of new projects coming onstream. We see liquids production falling from an estimated 292,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2012 to 277,000b/d in 2017 before hitting 264,000b/d in 2022. This relatively gradual decrease is explained by a small number of new projects coming onstream, offset by a steady decline rate in mature field output.

Consumption of crude is likely to rise at an average of 4.8% from 2012 to 2022. We therefore anticipate that consumption will rise from an estimated 14,000b/d in 2012 to 22,000b/d by 2022.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Oil And Gas Reserves
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2011-2016
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2017-2022
Oil Supply And Demand
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2011-2016
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2017-2022
Gas Supply And Demand
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2011-2016
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2017-2022
Refining And Oil Products Trade
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Refining - Production and Consumption, 2011-2016
  Table: Congo (Brazzaville) Refining - Production and Consumption, 2017-2022
Revenues/Import Costs
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
Rewards In Store For Upstream, Though Risks Loom Very Large
  Table: Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
A Widening Downstream Deficit
  Table: Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Proposed And Planned Refineries In Africa
Republic Of Congo - Risk/Reward Ratings
Congo Upstream Rating - Rewards
Congo Upstream Rating - Risks
Congo Downstream Rating - Rewards
Congo Downstream Rating - Risks
Market Overview
Republic Of Congo Energy Market Overview
Licensing And Regulation
Government Policy
Licensing Rounds
International Energy Relations
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
  Table: Refineries In Congo
Service Stations
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Executive Summary
  Table: Key Players In The Republic Of Congo's Energy Sector
  Table: Key Upstream Players
  Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Total Congo
Other Companies - Summary
Regional Overview
African Energy Overview
Sub-Salt Expectations
Oil Flows Under Stress
East African Gas Boom
Fuelling Development: The Downstream Race
Post-Revolutionary Blues
Global Industry Overview
Global Energy Market Overview
  Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts & Bloomberg Analyst Consensus, Average Price (US$/bbl)
  Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts
Industry Trend Analysis
Growing Implementation Base
Developed Drive
Africa - Regional Appendix
  Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d)
  Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d)
  Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d)
  Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d)
  Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d)
  Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d)
  Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm)
  Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm)
  Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm)
  Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm)
  Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm)
  Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm)
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
  Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Risk Reward Ratings - Structure
  Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings - Methodology
Oil & Gas Forecasts Methodology
Energy Industry
Cross checks
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