Chile Power Report Q3 2016

Date: June 1, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Chile's power market will be one of the most attractive and dynamic in Latin America over the next few years, owing to the country's stable business environment and investor-friendly regulations, a solid macroeconomic outlook and robust growth in power consumption. The government's use of energy auctions for the regulated market, coupled with energy demand from miners located far from the main power network, will create long-term business opportunities for power generators. Meanwhile, the need to expand Chile's power grid will drive demand for transmission infrastructure.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • The latest investment plans of major international energy companies operating in Chile have strengthened our positive outlook for the country's power sector. Spain's Gas Natural Fenosa and Red ElĂ©ctrica and Italy's Enel will all increase their exposure to the market over the next few quarters.
  • Popular opposition to the development of large-scale hydropower projects remains a key downside risk to our forecast for the hydropower sector. In particular, we highlight hostility to the completion of the 531MW Alto Maipo hydropower complex remains strong, although construction of the project is progressing.
  • A bill presented by the government in 2015 to reorganise the structure of Chile's power transmission sector is currently under consideration by the Senate. The document was approved by the lower house of the parliament in January 2015. The bill aims to accelerate the development process of new power transmission lines and facilite investment in the sector. We expect the government to push for the new regulation to be approved ahead of the July-August 2016 energy auction for the regulated power market.
  • It was announced that Gas Natural Fenosa and E-CL are considering building gas-fired power plants in Chile. This development, together with a significant pipeline of projects already under construction and planned, supports our positive growth outlook for gas-fired power generation in Chile over the next 10 years. Our forecast is also premised on the construction of an LNG import terminal, low international gas prices and the government's commitment to increasing the role of gas in Chile's energy matrix.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Chile 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
Chile Snaphot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Chile 2015-2019)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Chile 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Chile Forecast Scenario
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Natural Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
  Table: Chile's Major Hydropower Project Pipeline
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Latin America - LatAm RRI: Argentina Gaining Amid Chile's Continued Outperformance
  Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
Chile Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Chile Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Pacific Hydro
Company Profile
Regional Overview
Latin America - LatAm Power: Key Regional Themes
  Table: BMI's Key Themes For Latin America's Power Industry In 2016 And Beyond
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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