Canada Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Date: January 20, 2016
Pages: 163
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our growth outlook for Canada's oil and gas industry remains modest given mounting headwinds in both the upstream and midstream sectors amid a low oil price environment.

The greatest threats to these projects are unfavourable project economics and regulatory headwinds that will hamper the growth of oil sands-driven production and LNG terminal development, weighing on total hydrocarbon output.

This is exacerbated by the likely drop in exploratory activity throughout Canadian acreage as companies revise capital expenditures in the coming year.

The latest developments in Canada's oil and gas sector are:
  • We are reaffirmed in our negative outlook on long-term crude production growth in Canada following the election victory for the Liberal Party on October 19. A low oil price outlook and insufficient pipeline takeaway capacity will combine with the government's strong environmental mandate to undermine upstream and midstream developments.
  • Continued output growth in Canadian oil sands over the next two years will increase exported volumes of crude into the US. Lower oil prices have threatened the development of upstream projects beyond 2017, encouraging further cost saving measures throughout the oil-producing province of Alberta. However, we maintain that post-final investment decision (FID) projects that have already incurred substantial costs will continue to be brought online, increasing output by an average rate of 6.0% y-o-y between 2015 and 2017.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Forecasts (Canada 2013-2019)
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Shale Resources-In-Place, Alberta
Upstream Projects
  Table: Canada - Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Oil Production (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Oil Production (Canada 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Production (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Gas Production (Canada 2019-2024)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Canada 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Trends
Structural Trends
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Refined Products Consumption (Canada 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Consumption (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Gas Consumption (Canada 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends:
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Canada 2013-2019)
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Canada 2019-2024)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Canada 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Canadian LNG Export Projects
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Canada 2013-2018)
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Canada 2019-2024)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
North America And Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
  Table: North America & Western Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index, out of 100
Upstream Rankings: North America To Maintain The Lead
North America: Canada Losing Its Edge
Western Europe Languishes In Maturing Assets
  Table: North America & Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index, out of 100
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead
  Table: North America & Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index, out of 100
Canada - Risk/Reward Index
Canada Upstream Index
Canada Downstream Index
Market Overview
Canada Energy Market Overview
State Role
Licensing And Regulation
  Table: Generic Offshore Petroleum Royalty Regime
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
  Table: Downstream Projects
Service Stations
Oil Pipelines
LNG Regasification Terminals
LNG Liquefaction Terminals
Gas Pipelines
Gas Service Stations
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
  Table: Key Players - Oil And Gas Sector
  Table: Key Upstream Players
  Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Shell Canada
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
North America And Western Europe Oil & Gas Regional Overview
  Table: North America, Key Regional Indicators
  Table: Western Europe, Key Regional Indicators
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Weighting
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