Argentina Power Report Q3 2016

Date: June 8, 2016
Pages: 66
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: A4D68766FE2EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for Argentina's power sector is improving steadily due to the reforms introduced by the Macri government. The country will continue to suffer from tight power supply and a weak electricity infrastructure over the coming months, but we expect the market to offer growing opportunities over the coming years as the government will prioritise plans to attract investment into new conventional and renewables power capacity.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • An increase in electricity tariffs, greater access to financing and a general improvement in the business environment will all benefit the Argentine power sector. While at present Argentina suffers from more than a decade of underinvestment in the distribution and power generation sector, the economic and industry-specific reforms introduced by the Macri government will create significant business opportunities in the country over the coming years.
  • Our Country Risk team forecasts that the Argentine economy will contract 0.6% in 2016 as consumption falls in response to elevated inflation. Nevertheless, it expects rapidly improving investor sentiment to drive a strong economic rebound from 2017, with real GDP growth to average 4.3% between 2017 and 2021. In turn, this informs our forecast for power consumption in the country to rise at an average annual rate of 3.7% between 2016 and 2021.
  • The Macri government is creating the conditions for much greater financing availability for the power sector by reintegrating Argentina into capital markets and increasing investor confidence in the country. For example, representatives of the International Finance Corporation (IFC) said in May 2016 they are considering investing USD800mn in Argentina between now and December 2016, with renewable energy being a key target.
  • The government is undertaking initiatives that we expect to boost international investment into new power generating capacity. Crucially, it has announced it will hold auctions to contract both thermal and renewable energy projects over the coming months. As investor interest in the market is strengthening and the government is taking on currency risk by offering power purchase agreements (PPAs) in US dollars, we expect the auctions to prove popular. Investment in renewables will be supported by a number of incentives introduced by Argentina's new renewable energy law and enacted by the government in March 2016.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2020)
Industry Forecast
Argentina Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Argentina 2015-2019)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Argentina 2020-2025)
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Argentina Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Thermal Power Generation And Capacity Forecast
Nuclear Power Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
  Table: Overview Of Incentives For Renewables Under Federal Act 27.191
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2019)
  Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2020-2025)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2019)
  Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Argentina 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Latin America - LatAm RRI: Argentina Gaining Amid Chile's Continued Outperformance
  Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
  Table: New Renewable Energy Law - Main Provisions
Argentina Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Pampa Energia
AES Argentina
Company Profile
Pampa Energia
  Table: New Debt Issuance Points To Investor Confidence
Regional Overview
Latin America - LatAm Power: Key Regional Themes
  Table: BMI's Key Themes For Latin America's Power Industry In 2016 And Beyond
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Argentina Power Report Q1 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Nov, 2015 · 59 pages
Argentina Power Report Q2 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Mar, 2016 · 63 pages
Argentina Power Report Q4 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Sep, 2016 · 67 pages

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